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Zhai Zhigang: Japan wants to "one stone and three birds" on the peninsula
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Zhai Zhigang: Japan wants to "one stone and three birds" on the peninsula

2014-11-10

The twists and turns in the situation on the Korean Peninsula triggered a sudden escalation of geopolitical risks in Northeast Asia. The international community is even worried that the North Korean nuclear crisis is welcoming the critical point of confrontation. In the case of the smell of gunpowder, Japan seems to have sniffed a good opportunity, and it is hard to suppress itself. Not only does the Japanese media hype the atmosphere of war, but the Japanese government also throws up countermeasures and refugee countermeasures, and it has practiced that the army has not moved. "Grass and grass first" means.


As one of the stakeholders in the situation on the peninsula, Japan’s concern about the development of the situation is also normal. However, from the government to the public opinion, such a large-scale rendering of the ability, its strategic purpose can be described as clear.


First, use the peninsula crisis to capture the "good opportunity" that Japan desperately needs. The DPRK nuclear issue is a real crisis for South Korea and the entire Northeast Asian region. However, the Japanese government has always used the situation on the peninsula to prove that there are "somethings" around the country as a way to increase the defense budget and enhance its military strength.


In 1997, when the Japanese government revised the new defense pointer, it issued the "Peripheral Affairs Law". The biggest truth is that the sword refers to the nuclear. In 2015, the new security law was enacted. Although China’s oceans and seas have been added, the DPRK nuclear threat has not left the bulls. This time, the Japanese media and the government teamed up to interpret the many consequences of the war between the DPRK and the United States, and the sand table deducted the general measures to take stock of Japan’s comprehensive response, so that the eyes of the eye-catching people, through the turbulent appearance of the crisis, saw Japan’s capture of the “good opportunity” and accelerated the revision of the constitution. Further banned the snickers of collective self-defense rights and self-defense forces going overseas.


Secondly, the use of the peninsula after the outbreak of the war has been hit hard to achieve economic recovery under the "war domestic demand." As is known to all, the War of Resistance Against US Aggression and Aid Korea, which began in June 1950, brought the first barrel of gold to the economic recovery of Japan after the war. The military orders from the United States and the so-called United Nations Army gave birth to the first wave of "war domestic demand" in Japan after the war. Now that the Japanese economy is in a state of exhaustion, most of the power of "Abenomics" has been compromised, but it has not yet seen a complete recovery of the economy. The abacus that the Japanese government is trying to pull is probably: the peninsula is best to start as soon as possible, so that a new round of military orders can be generated, which will stimulate the Japanese economy to come to a deadly place.


In addition, the use of the peninsula game "one stone three birds." In recent years, in the game of the peninsula, Japan has repeatedly seized the opportunity. Here, the United States has won the historical reconciliation between Japan and South Korea on the issue of comfort women. Japan and South Korea have concluded important achievements such as the Military Intelligence Protection Agreement. The lifting of the three principles of collective self-defense and the revision of arms exports, and the revision of the Constitution have also sailed to the highway.


Once the situation on the peninsula has been upgraded to war and developed in accordance with the many military exercises of the United States, Japan and South Korea, Japan is undoubtedly hopeful to realize the threat of eliminating the North Korean nuclear with the help of "Uncle Sam", suppressing South Korea as a competitive partner and containing China on the peninsula. The right to speak and dominance can be described as "one stone and three birds." Although everyone knows how much the risk of war will occur in the peninsula, from the noise of the media and the subtext of the government, Japan is likely to have been stunned by its own "good intentions."


At a time when the situation on the peninsula is becoming increasingly critical, if Japan really thinks about its own interests, it should go hand in hand with the efforts to resolve the Korean Peninsula issue peacefully and position itself. On the DPRK nuclear issue, Japan should play the following roles:


The first is the promoter of regional stability. The history of East Asia from the 19th century to the present proves that Japan's role in the geopolitical game is mostly negative energy and destructive. It not only affects others, but also brings great disasters to the development of the country. I hope that Japan will learn lessons and do more regional stability promotion work, and how to deal with the Korean nuclear issue is a touchstone.


The second is the coordinator of the parties to the conflict. In regional cooperation and diplomacy, it is normal to have contradictions and frictions. But the helper who is in conflict or the firefighter is a minimum standard for measuring regional powers or important countries. Japan has the economic, military and diplomatic strength to coordinate bilateral and even multilateral conflicts, but the need to use the right place as a coordinator is Japan’s role in the future.


The third is the demonstrator of lasting peace. The biggest threat to the peninsula crisis lies in nuclear development and nuclear destruction. As the only country in the world that has been bombarded by atomic bombs, Japan should know the terrible nuclear disaster. Japan is also a defeated country in World War II. Many Japanese nationals have taken care of the hard-won peace because of the cruelty of war. Over the years, the Japanese people have always had a strong anti-nuclear and other peaceful voices, which laid the foundation for public opinion for Japan to maintain the nine constitutions and adhere to lasting peace. It is hoped that the Japanese government will reflect on the consequences of war and nuclear destruction and become a demonstrator and practitioner of lasting peace.



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